H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy New Orleans Hospital ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has reinforced decently given that Friday night.
The storm strengthened into a cyclone on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon location for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy should turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The route northward away from the Caribbean has actually ended up being less particular. Tammy was initially anticipated to be recorded by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer guidance is now recommending that the storm may drift around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) became a big and exceptionally effective cyclone that caused huge damage and significant loss of life. It is the costliest cyclone to ever strike the United States, going beyond the record previously held by Hurricane Andrew from 1992.
Cyclone Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest death in Typhoon Katrina was because of flooding caused by engineering flaws in the flood protection system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, as well as large locations in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone cautions have actually now been issued for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That means hurricane conditions are expected in a few of these locations. You can see the latest warnings and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy must spread across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through at least early Sunday in some locations.
Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area up to 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (in your area as much as 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might cause flooding and mudslides in some of these areas.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center said.
Air Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and cyclone and conditions were occurring over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is expected to be a little weaker by the time it strikes land, however it still will be a typhoon that might bring deadly conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a few hundred thousand people, the hurricane center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, on the other hand, Hurricane Tammy-- a Category 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has set off cyclone cautions for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island countries and areas between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a risk to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved optimal continual winds of 85 miles per hour and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Cyclone Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 cyclone was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the hurricane center said.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external approximately 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outside approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is just the 3rd typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic because 1900, according to hurricane professional Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic since 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Hurricane experts formerly warned cyclones could form in uncommon locations later on in the season this year because of the extremely warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most major dangers and could lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rain overalls for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, but might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain needs to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will begin to enhance from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy